MLB handicapping
June 25th MLB news ... In order to score a profit on a sport like baseball, the bettor must be up to date with all of the daily trends, MLB handicapping, statistics and tips.
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In order to score a profit on a sport like baseball, the bettor must be up to date with all of the daily trends, statistics and tips. You will be able to find all of that information and more right here, all season long.
MLB News
Report: Cubs the clear front-runner for Russell Martin
2014-11-17
Martin is the prize of this off-seasons class of free agent catchers after batting .290/.402/.430 with 11 home runs and 67 RBI for the Pirates. He continues to draw praise for his defense, pitch framing, and handling a pitching staff as well.
In the event the Cubs do land Martin, they will likely make 27-year-old catcher Welington Castillo available.
March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15
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2010 World Series is here!!!
2010-10-28
The 2010 World Series has finally arrived! Yes, baseball fans, no matter which your favorite team is, this is a series that is always worth watching, because the 2 best teams during the whole season will do whatever it takes to win the yearned trophy and celebrate in a large parade across their city. This year we have a newcomer, Texas Rangers, and a team that has came close to winning the title 3 times: San Francisco Giants. Both teams come from giving 2 major upsets in their corresponding Championship series. The Rangers destroyed the reigning champions New York Yankees, beating them twice at their very own Yankee Stadium, with an impressive offensive display. On the other hand, the Giants made use of their precise pitching to beat the Philadelphia Phillies also playing away from home.
Talking about game 1 in this series, the Giants will have the home advantage, having had a better season result than their rivals. Therefore, the first game will take place at the AT&T Park in San Francisco. Still, the odds are quite in favor of the Rangers, mainly because of the impressive balance between powerful batting (they scored 18 runs in the Yankee stadium in their 2 victories there in the American League Championship Series), and the zen-like concentration of pitcher Cliff Lee. These odds are -127 for Texas and +117 for San Francisco. They might be right in a way, but let’s not forget that the Giants have an awesome pitcher in Tim Lincecum, 2 times Cy Young Award winner. They seem to be pretty even in the pitching department.
What could make the difference is the offense, and here naturally Texas could come out as favorite, given their monumental attacking work against none other than the Yankees. However, it seems to me that this series will be decided in 7 games, since both teams defend their home park very well. As to who will win, that is a very hard nut to crack… Both teams are equally motivated, they have very versatile players in all the departments, and the team cohesion is clear in both sides. I would say San Francisco has a slight advantage when it comes to their manager. Both Bruce Bochy (Giants) and Ron Washington (Rangers) have almost the same time as managers, but Bochy received the NL Manager of the Year award with the San Diego Padres. He also led this low-budget team to the National League pennant in 1998, losing to the Yankees in the World Series. So, Bochy already has World Series experience, Washington doesn’t. Will he be able to handle the pressure?
If I were to give a winner, I would say San Francisco will be 2010 World Champions. But that is not up to me to decide, is it?
MLB: Cubs just can’t beat bad teams
2010-07-20
The Chicago Cubs haven’t been kind to their finds or faithful bettors this season. With last night’s loss to the Houston Astros, the Cubs are now 10 games under .500. More importantly, the Cubs are down 21.4 betting units for the season. Sportsbook.com expects the Cubs to eat into that negative unit number a bit tonight as they are -240 home favorites versus the Astros.
Diehard Cubs' fan Jim Belushi once starred in a movie titled "Taking Care of Business". His team certainly hasn't done that, and bettors need look no further than trends for evidence of team’s performance tendencies and the following list from FoxSheets underscore the Cubs’ ineptitude this season:
• CHICAGO CUBS are 18-31 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.9, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Think about that for a second, if Chicago is 13-games below .500 against teams with losing records, it means they are 3-games over .500 against winning clubs. If the Cubs had simply only played 25-24 baseball against the league’s lesser teams, they would be only 3-1/2 games out of the Central lead right now and in contention.
• CHICAGO CUBS are 8-18 (-19.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 4*)
The Cubs are 19.1 units in the hole for bettors who have backed them against the league’s worst hitting clubs this season. Strangely, pitching isn’t the problem. As you can see, they are producing only 3.5 runs per game offensively themselves against these weak hitting foes. Unfortunately, it doesn’t stop there…
• CHICAGO CUBS are 17-29 (-23.6 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*)
Typically, teams are able to mount come from behind rallies against poor bullpens. Such has not been the case for Chicago.
• CHICAGO CUBS are 15-28 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.2, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 3*)
The Cubs are 13-games below .500 against teams that don’t hit a lot of home runs, returning a negative 52.5% on investment.
• CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 (-25.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 6*)
Perhaps the ugliest nugget of all, Chicago is not only allowing its run-starved opponents to outscore their normal averages, it’s own offense is producing just 2.9 runs per game on this trend. With an ROI of -86.9%, this trend gets a 6* rating from FoxSheets.
And finally…
• CHICAGO CUBS are 6-15 (-19.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 5*)
Chicago is 9-games under .500 when playing to its biggest chalk lines this season. Of course, this will be put to test tonight, as the Cubs are hefty -240 favorites at Sportsbook.com against the Astros behind Ryan Dempster. The Cubs are just 9-16 (-11.9 units) over the last two years in divisional play behind Dempster, and 15-26 overall versus Central Division rivals in 2010.
Meanwhile, the Astros boast a 21-16 divisional record this season, producing 11.9 units of profit. They will turn the ball over to Wesley Wright, who after 126 MLB relief appearances and a recent stint in Triple-A, makes his first career start.
Now that you know some of the key numbers for tonight’s game, head over to Sportsbook.com and place your bets. With some of the most generous dime lines the industry has to offer, it is no wonder that everybody bets on baseball at Sportsbook.com.
MLB: Add Umpires to Baseball Betting Portfolio
2010-06-07
This baseball season, umpires have been in the news a bit more often than usual. Joe West called out the Yankees and Red Sox for slow play in April, as most of their games go right up against a 240 minute hour glass. And just last week Jim Joyce cost Detroit’s Armando Galarraga a place in baseball history by missing a call that would have given him the 21st perfect game ever. It’s clear that umpires have a big hand in the result of games, and thus should be part of your handicapping routine. Fortunately, Sportsbook.com has the tools you need to keep track of this important aspect in its UMPIRE REPORT, updated daily.
Sharp baseball bettors take the time to study or at the very least know whose working behind the dish to understand what kind of influence they may have on the outcome of a game.
This is especially true for baseball bettors who playing totals. Umpiring is more standardized today with the use of modern equipment to see how consistent an umpire is in calling balls and strikes, compared to the old days when the National League was known a “high ball” league and American League was known as a “low ball” league based on how they wore their chest protectors.
Those days are gone, however each umpire interprets the strike zone differently and it tends to be somewhat of a moving target.
This is where you find some are liberal with the zone and their games tend to be lower scoring, while others are smaller, either by width or height and the games they call behind the plate are often higher scoring with pitchers having to catch more of plate which gives batters a better choice of pitches to hit.
Here are the umpires that have called the highest percentage of Over contests this season.
Games OVER the total (Pushes not listed)
Angel Campos 9-2
Tim Welke 9-2
Angel Hernandez 9-3
Mike Reilly 8-3
Sam Holbrook 6-2
Next are the umps that have called the most Under the oddsmakers total.
Games UNDER the total (Pushes not listed)
Jim Wolf 10-1
Bob Davidson 10-2
Bruce Dreckman 9-2
Dan Iassogna 9-3
One aspect that has to be considered is who and the types of pitchers involved. If the men in shirtsleeves this time of year have No. 4 or 5 starters on consistent basis and they have tighter strike zone to begin with, needless to say the chances of a higher scoring game go up. Conversely, if an umpire draws the top pitchers from the various teams and normally gives the hurler the benefit of the doubt to begin with, than he’s more inclined to have games flying Under the number.
One further point of consideration is the record of an umpire in home or away situations. This generally is less important, nevertheless extreme cases should be part of the decision-making process.
These guys are human and are going to be influenced by their surroundings, a juiced up home crowd could sway decisions, just like what happens in basketball to officials. Other umps might be a touch “prickly”, and go out of their way to give the visitor the benefit of the doubt.
You can’t help but notice the home team is 12-0 with Ted Tichenor behind the plate in a home ball park in 2010. Others with figures supporting the club that bats last are Tim McClelland 11-2, Gerry Davis 10-3, Brian O’Nora 10-3, Greg Gibson 10-3 and Jerry Meals 10-3.
Those that have the opposite numbers with the visiting team coming out ahead are Ed Rapuano 9-2 (visitors record), Marvin Hudson 8-3, plus Bob Davidson and Laz Diaz at 9-4.
The idea isn’t to base a baseball wager on the outcome of what an umpire’s record is on totals or sides, but to understand that they can and do influence the outcome of games. Mixed with other key information, they are part of the fabric of the game and baseball wagering.